针对防空作战中空中目标航迹预测的问题,提出了一种基于灰色理论的空中目标航迹预测方法。该方法通过建立等维新息残差修正GM预测模型,实现了航迹的实时在线预测,从而提高了预测精度。通过实例计算表明:在数据有限的情况下,该模型用于航迹预测效果明显。

A method for predicting aerial target tracks in air defense warfare was put forward based on grey theory. Through establishing the predicting GM model of corrected residual error,on-line prediction of the target track could be realized in real time,and thus could improve the prediction precision. The calculation results of examples showed that the model is accurate and reliable for the prediction of the aerial target tracks,especially when the data is limited.